Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:06:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0c0…5adc
crypto · 792 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5,099 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,583 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,583
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses437 / 355
Open positions0
Markets (closed)792 / 792
History coverage77d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day41.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 792 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$443
7 days+$145
14 days−$1,204
30 days−$1,219
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $213 $0 −$213 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $229 $0 −$229 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $266 $0 −$266 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $247 $0 −$247 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $151 $0 −$151 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $618 $0 −$618 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $268 $0 −$268 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $381 $0 −$381 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $308 −$298 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $392 −$381 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $342 +$268 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $304 −$298 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $322 +$288 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $284 +$304 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $326 −$326 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $326 +$259 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $311 +$247 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $271 −$266 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $375 +$416 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $217 −$213 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $154 +$121 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 09 $223 +$278 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 09 $233 +$245 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 08 $244 +$227 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 08 $229 −$229 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 08 $136 +$105 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 08 $335 +$322 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 07 $268 −$268 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 07 $232 −$223 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 07 $137 +$107 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 07 $297 −$287 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 07 $256 −$256 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 06 $275 +$248 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 06 $151 −$151 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 06 $293 +$223 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 06 $252 −$247 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 05 $322 −$312 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 05 $284 −$279 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 05 $268 +$287 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 05 $230 +$293 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 05 $109 +$81 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 05 $437 −$428 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 04 $311 +$245 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 04 $259 −$254 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 04 $159 +$125 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 04 $327 −$317 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 04 $296 −$296 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 04 $388 −$381 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 04 $631 −$618 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 04 $388 +$492 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 03 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 03 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 03 $26 +$27 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 03 $30 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 03 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 01 $17 +$13 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 01 $21 +$19 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 01 $26 −$25 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$6,575
politics 2% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $308 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $274 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $17 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $17 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $13 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $18 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $18 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $11 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $18 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $18 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $11 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +4.1% -5.8% 54% 54% -7.5%
≤30d 60 -19.9% -27.5% 42% 42% -18.7%
≤90d 792 -4.7% -13.8% 55% 45% -26.3%
all 792 -4.7% -13.8% 55% 45% -26.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 45% -26.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 34% -33.4%
15% -29.6% 26% -39.8%
20% -36.5% 19% -45.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3487 history records