Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:23:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0c9…fc76
sports · 79 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$15 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses36 / 41
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)77 / 79
History coverage42d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 1 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Yes 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Real Salt Lake vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Score Yes 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-02? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Score Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score Yes 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Liverpool FC leading at halftime? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score Yes 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? Yes 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score Yes 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 $0 -5%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 +$9 +184%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 AND Will United States win on 2026 Jun 13 $2 +$3 +128%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? May 13 $1 $0 +19%
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-05-09? May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-09? May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-09? May 10 $1 $0 -27%
Fluminense FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5 May 09 $1 +$1 +108%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5 May 09 $1 $0 +42%
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score May 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $1 $0 +46%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score May 09 $1 −$1 -51%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score May 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 3.5 May 09 $2 +$1 +59%
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $1 +$1 +51%
Liverpool FC leading at halftime? May 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $5 −$1 -20%
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score May 06 $1 $0 +13%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? May 05 $2 −$2 -93%
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 May 05 $3 −$3 -99%
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score May 04 $2 −$1 -51%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $1 +$2 +186%
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score May 04 $1 −$1 -98%
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5 May 04 $1 $0 +30%
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5 May 04 $1 $0 +35%
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score May 04 $1 +$1 +68%
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score May 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $1 −$1 -99%
Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 May 04 $1 $0 +31%
Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score May 04 $3 +$3 +109%
Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5 May 04 $1 $0 +19%
Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Score May 03 $1 −$1 -97%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score May 03 $1 −$1 -98%
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score May 03 $1 +$1 +61%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $2 $0 +12%
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score May 03 $2 +$1 +48%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $2 −$2 -75%
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $1 $0 +40%
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 02 $2 $0 -7%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $2 $0 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 44% +$5
other 30% −$18
crypto 25% −$3
world 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY 48¢ $4 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY 48¢ $4 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 47¢ $2 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 44¢ $2 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $2 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $2 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $14 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 31¢ $3 6h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $1 17h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 40¢ $2 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 AND Will United States win on 2026 BUY 43¢ $2 26h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 30h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $3 31h
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 31d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? SELL Yes 98¢ $1 31d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? SELL No 22¢ $0 31d
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-05-09? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 35d
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-09? SELL Yes 25¢ $1 35d
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-09? SELL Yes 27¢ $0 35d
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-09? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 35d
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-05-09? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 35d
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-09? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 35d
Fluminense FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $2 35d
Fluminense FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 47¢ $1 35d
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $1 35d
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $1 35d
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 36¢ $2 35d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09? SELL Yes 100¢ $1 35d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-24.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +17.4% +6.3% 33% 33% +27.0%
≤30d 6 +17.4% +6.3% 33% 33% +27.0%
≤90d 77 -16.1% -24.1% 47% 44% -21.1%
all 77 -16.1% -24.1% 47% 44% -21.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.1% 44% -21.1%
10% -31.3% 38% -28.7%
15% -38.0% 31% -35.6%
20% -44.0% 25% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.98 · official $1.98 (match) · 173 history records