Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:26:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0ca…9c4a
crypto · 369 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$87 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$87 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses214 / 155
Open positions0
Markets (closed)369 / 369
History coverage43d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day70.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 369 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$89
7 days−$89
14 days−$94
30 days−$268
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $102 +$35 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $204 −$204 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $153 +$70 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $101 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 06 $104 −$64 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 06 $204 +$67 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 06 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 06 $103 +$76 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 06 $102 −$73 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 06 $102 −$98 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 06 $104 +$99 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 06 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 06 $101 +$19 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 06 $36 +$14 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 06 $102 +$41 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 06 $102 +$32 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 06 $103 +$59 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 06 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 06 $103 +$75 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 06 $153 +$52 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 06 $103 −$101 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 06 $103 +$52 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 06 $103 +$52 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 23 $52 −$51 -98%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET May 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET May 19 $1 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin above 77,200 on May 19, 12PM ET? May 19 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET May 19 $16 −$4 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET May 19 $214 −$42 -20%
Ethereum above 2,140 on May 19, 12PM ET? May 19 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 2,155 on May 19, 12PM ET? May 19 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 75,600 on May 19, 12PM ET? May 19 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET May 19 $9 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET May 19 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 76,200 on May 19, 11AM ET? May 19 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET May 19 $10 −$9 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET May 19 $16 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET May 19 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET May 19 $58 +$8 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET May 19 $72 −$44 -61%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET May 19 $3 +$4 +120%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 19 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET May 19 $9 −$8 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 19 $25 −$5 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 19 $5 +$8 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET May 19 $60 −$3 -5%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET May 19 $14 −$12 -84%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET May 19 $7 −$2 -32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$87
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $102 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $102 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $102 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $40 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $104 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $271 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $102 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $102 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $103 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $103 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $29 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $102 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $102 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $104 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $103 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $101 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $36 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $102 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $102 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $103 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $103 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $103 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $51 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $102 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $103 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -2.6% -11.8% 75% 50% -23.9%
≤30d 91 -3.1% -12.4% 55% 40% -16.2%
≤90d 369 -3.0% -12.3% 58% 37% -10.0%
all 369 -3.0% -12.3% 58% 37% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 37% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 30% -18.7%
15% -28.3% 25% -26.5%
20% -35.3% 20% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3366 history records