Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:44:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A0 0xa0cc…f2df crypto 947 markets active 2h ago coverage 13d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 12d only
✗ bot/MM pace (236 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,549 (-44%) realized −$2,549 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -27% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -44% what you keep after slip
Net edge-44%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate40%511W / 760L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day236.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,991
7 days−$2,059
14 days−$2,120
30 days−$2,120
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$155
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (236 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-33.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 445 -76.5% -78.7% 10% 8% -66.8%
≤30d 1271 -26.6% -33.6% 40% 36% -35.3%
≤90d 1271 -26.6% -33.6% 40% 36% -35.3%
all 1271 -26.6% -33.6% 40% 36% -35.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover236.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.6% 36% -35.3%
10% ← realistic here -39.9% 30% -41.5%
15% -45.7% 24% -47.2%
20% -51.1% 15% -52.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -29% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -27% · $-wt -29% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -55% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.5 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.34 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,549
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses511 / 760
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1271 / 947
History coverage13d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day236.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1271 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 18 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 18 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $0 +$1 +1248%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 18 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April? Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 18 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $21 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $6 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $8 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $15 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $11 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 31h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $23 37h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $31 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $34 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records