Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:06:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0d5…8d0a
crypto · 178 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$174 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$173 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized−$173
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses82 / 64
Open positions32
Markets (closed)146 / 178
History coverage115d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 32 History 146 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 77¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Yes 74¢ 74¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Yes 45¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 71¢ 70¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? No 91¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? No 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 89¢ 88¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? Yes 76¢ 76¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Yes 92¢ 92¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Yes 71¢ 70¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 40¢ 40¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 54¢ 55¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? Yes 23¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 14 $7 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 14 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 14 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 13 $3 +$11 +337%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 13 $12 +$16 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 13 $4 +$5 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 13 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 13 $5 +$9 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 13 $5 +$5 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 13 $10 +$18 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Apr 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Apr 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Apr 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Apr 13 $12 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Apr 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Apr 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Apr 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Apr 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Apr 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Apr 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Apr 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Apr 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Apr 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Apr 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Apr 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Apr 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Apr 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Apr 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Apr 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Apr 13 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Apr 09 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Apr 09 $2 $0 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$175
other 7% +$2
economics 1% $0
world 1% $0
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 92¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 1h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 76¢ $1 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 61¢ $1 1h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 56¢ $1 1h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 91¢ $1 1h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 1h
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 1h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 77¢ $1 1h
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 74¢ $1 1h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 71¢ $1 1h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 94¢ $1 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 1h
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 1h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 61¢ $1 1h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 56¢ $1 1h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 71¢ $1 1h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 1h
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 1h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 77¢ $1 1h
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 74¢ $1 1h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 71¢ $1 1h
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 82¢ $1 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 1h
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 81¢ $1 1h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 89¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +103.4% +84.0% 100% 100% +84.3%
≤30d 24 +5.7% -4.3% 42% 42% -29.2%
≤90d 87 -12.5% -20.8% 44% 38% -42.0%
all 146 +5.3% -4.7% 56% 47% -22.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.7% 47% -22.0%
10% -13.8% 39% -29.4%
15% -22.2% 32% -36.2%
20% -29.8% 27% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.01 · official $41.02 (match) · 463 history records