trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 8 | -52.0% | -56.5% | 25% | 12% | -15.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -56.5% | 12% | -15.2% |
| 10% | -60.7% | 12% | -23.3% |
| 15% | -64.5% | 12% | -30.7% |
| 20% | -68.0% | 12% | -37.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $4,998 | $4,851 | −$147 (-3%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $1,790 | $1,824 | +$34 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Feb 02 | $1,862 | +$52 | +3% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February? | Jan 31 | $105 | −$105 | -100% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | Jan 29 | $37 | −$20 | -54% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | Jan 29 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January? | Jan 29 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Jan 09 | $25 | +$30 | +122% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) | Oct 30 | $52 | −$30 | -57% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | Oct 30 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |