Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:23:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0e6…fa86
crypto · 1126 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,628 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,628 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,628
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses536 / 706
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1242 / 1126
History coverage74d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day37.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1242 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,368
7 days−$1,374
14 days−$1,588
30 days−$1,492
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Spread: Celtics (-8.5) Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$1,307
sports 1% +$2
other 1% +$27
weather 0% −$8
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $19 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $17 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $28 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $11 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $21 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $5 14m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $21 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $18 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $20 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $20 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $51 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $51 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $51 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $28 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $51 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $51 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $36 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $20 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $0 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $2 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $26 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-26.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 233 -62.3% -65.9% 26% 15% -49.6%
≤30d 397 -39.3% -45.1% 39% 28% -34.3%
≤90d 1242 -18.5% -26.3% 43% 37% -23.7%
all 1242 -18.5% -26.3% 43% 37% -23.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.3% 37% -23.7%
10% ← realistic here -33.3% 32% -31.0%
15% -39.8% 28% -37.7%
20% -45.7% 24% -43.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records