Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T00:40:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A0 0xa0e7…9461 crypto 289 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3248 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2,799 (+6%) realized +$2,799 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate52%169W / 154L
Whale WR39%big bets
Drawdown38%max
Avg bet$169per market
Trades / day3248.0pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,153
other 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3248 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-1.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 323 +9.3% -1.1% 52% 43% -7.0%
≤30d 323 +9.3% -1.1% 52% 43% -7.0%
≤90d 323 +9.3% -1.1% 52% 43% -7.0%
all 323 +9.3% -1.1% 52% 43% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3248.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.1% 43% -7.0%
10% ← realistic here -10.6% 28% -15.9%
15% -19.2% 18% -24.0%
20% -27.1% 11% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
17% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +9% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 39% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +43% → late -24% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
11.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$41 vs −$33 · ×1.25 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.37 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$2,799
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses169 / 154
Whale WR (big bets)39%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)323 / 289
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$169
Trades / day3248.0
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 323 Trades
no open positions (78 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 26 $22 −$22 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 26 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 26 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 26 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 26 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 26 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 26 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 26 $64 −$64 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 26 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 26 $24 −$24 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 26 $16 −$16 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 26 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11AM ET Jun 26 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 26 $31 −$31 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 26 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 26 $882 +$304 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 26 $345 +$155 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6PM ET Jun 25 $562 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6PM ET Jun 25 $56 −$28 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 25 $135 +$10 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 25 $46 +$21 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 25 $389 −$279 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5PM ET Jun 25 $178 +$42 +24%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$10 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 25 $1,084 −$812 -75%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 5PM ET Jun 25 $76 +$24 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5PM ET Jun 25 $534 +$111 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 25 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5PM ET Jun 25 $15 +$5 +35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $44 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $44 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $45 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $44 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $45 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $39 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $16 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.02 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records