Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:00:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0ed…a2bf
crypto · 14 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses10 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +1.0% -8.6% 71% 64% -30.2%
≤30d 14 +1.0% -8.6% 71% 64% -30.2%
≤90d 14 +1.0% -8.6% 71% 64% -30.2%
all 14 +1.0% -8.6% 71% 64% -30.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 64% -30.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 50% -36.8%
15% -25.4% 43% -42.9%
20% -32.7% 21% -48.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 32 history records