Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:23:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0f5…57e2
sports · 1542 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$545 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$512 · open −$33
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized−$512
Unrealized−$33
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses821 / 717
Est. fees paid−$512
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1538 / 1542
History coverage115d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day23.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 3 History 1538 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$275
7 days−$254
14 days+$111
30 days+$238
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 61¢ 62¢ $40 $41 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 45¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $18 +$23 +128%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $15 +$18 +121%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $17 +$16 +91%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $13 −$5 -39%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $24 +$7 +27%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
France vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: Leviatán Esports vs Four Angry Men (BO3) - CN Leagu Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs VooDooSh Club (BO5) - Winline Star Series Playo Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10? Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 +$14 +145%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $18 +$13 +71%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $11 +$6 +53%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $29 +$16 +55%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $20 +$12 +60%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $29 +$20 +69%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $13 +$13 +103%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $11 +$8 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$9 +101%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $16 −$8 -54%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 10 $20 −$2 -11%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $8 +$8 +105%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $19 −$11 -59%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $27 +$27 +97%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $40 +$30 +76%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $44 +$25 +56%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $46 −$28 -61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$665
crypto 5% −$39
other 5% −$295
politics 2% +$395
weather 1% +$61
world 1% −$1
culture 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 61¢ $41 52m
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $41 56m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $21 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 45¢ $13 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $34 2h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 43¢ $18 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $15 3h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $33 3h
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY PARIVISION 57¢ $8 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 26¢ $8 5h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 51¢ $17 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 41¢ $13 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 91¢ $31 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 71¢ $24 6h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $24 6h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 40¢ $10 9h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 52¢ $11 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $29 11h
Rainbow Six Siege: Leviatán Esports vs Four Angry Men (BO3) - CN Leagu BUY Four Angry Men 59¢ $14 11h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $31 20h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 AND Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegov BUY 5¢ $13 22h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $15 22h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $17 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 99¢ $44 22h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $20 23h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $18 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Aurora Gaming 64¢ $11 24h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) SELL FURIA 99¢ $32 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $29 26h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY FURIA 61¢ $20 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 -12.1% -20.5% 47% 46% -21.7%
≤30d 396 +2.7% -7.1% 57% 57% -8.2%
≤90d 1254 -2.9% -12.2% 54% 53% -9.8%
all 1538 -3.5% -12.7% 53% 52% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 52% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 50% -19.0%
15% -28.7% 45% -26.8%
20% -35.7% 37% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.92 · official $53.92 · 3500 history records