Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:05:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0fb…7ad0
crypto · 901 markets active 15h ago
0.0score
−$213 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$213 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$213
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses655 / 246
Open positions0
Markets (closed)901 / 901
History coverage20d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day55.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 901 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$194
14 days−$211
30 days−$213
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 56¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 68¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 64¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 60¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 71¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 73¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 70¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 66¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 75¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 71¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 73¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 33¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 69¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 70¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 75¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 71¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 73¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 77¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 76¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 79¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 64¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 82¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 70¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 63¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 72¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +47%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +38%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +35%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +38%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +35%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$253
other 4% +$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 16h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 17h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 19h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 20h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 21h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 22h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 25h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 351 -1.1% -10.5% 74% 72% -18.5%
≤30d 901 -0.3% -9.8% 73% 71% -14.1%
≤90d 901 -0.3% -9.8% 73% 71% -14.1%
all 901 -0.3% -9.8% 73% 71% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 71% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 57% -22.3%
15% -26.3% 28% -29.8%
20% -33.5% 5% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1757 history records