Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:05:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0fb…b558
crypto · 167 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$24 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses48 / 118
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)166 / 167
History coverage50d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day5.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 166 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +140%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 $0 -24%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET May 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 14 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET May 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET May 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 13 $2 +$2 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET May 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 13 $1 +$3 +261%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 13 $2 +$3 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 13 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 13 $1 +$2 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 13 $4 +$5 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 13 $2 +$3 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 13 $7 +$14 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET May 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 12 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET May 12 $5 +$22 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 11 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET May 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% −$6
other 13% −$27
sports 5% +$27
world 2% +$6
economics 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 45¢ $2 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 34h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $1 38h
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 31¢ $4 15d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $4 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 29d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 29d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 29d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $3 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 0¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 31d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +12.6% +1.9% 50% 50% +2.4%
≤30d 9 -31.6% -38.1% 22% 22% -44.3%
≤90d 166 -10.1% -18.6% 29% 29% -10.0%
all 166 -10.1% -18.6% 29% 29% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.6% 29% -10.0%
10% -26.4% 28% -18.6%
15% -33.5% 27% -26.5%
20% -40.0% 27% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 334 history records