Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa105…b88d
crypto · 1752 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,268 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,267 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$60
Realized−$3,267
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1730 / 99
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1829 / 1752
History coverage4d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day482.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1829 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,229
7 days−$3,267
14 days−$3,267
30 days−$3,267
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 99¢ 90¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 99¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 99¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 99¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 99¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 99¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 99¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 99¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 90¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 99¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 99¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 99¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 99¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 98¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 99¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 99¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 99¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 99¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 92¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04? Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $198 −$198 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$67
other 0% +$1
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 45m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1829 -4.5% -13.6% 95% 0% -23.8%
≤30d 1829 -4.5% -13.6% 95% 0% -23.8%
≤90d 1829 -4.5% -13.6% 95% 0% -23.8%
all 1829 -4.5% -13.6% 95% 0% -23.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover482.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 0% -23.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 0% -31.1%
15% -29.4% 0% -37.7%
20% -36.3% 0% -43.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.98 · official $55.75 · 3500 history records