Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:40:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa107…e6a1
crypto · 190 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$173 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$191 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,244
Realized+$191
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses92 / 91
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions7
Markets (closed)183 / 190
History coverage83d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day10.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 7 History 183 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$381
7 days+$371
14 days+$371
30 days+$371
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 73¢ 72¢ $900 $894 −$6 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $300 $298 −$2 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 41¢ 38¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-9%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 6¢ 2¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-74%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$49 +957%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +6%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $8 +$9 +105%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 $0 +18%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $51 −$3 -6%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $305 +$324 +106%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Apr 25 $8 −$5 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Apr 25 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Apr 23 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Apr 23 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Apr 23 $40 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Apr 23 $22 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Apr 23 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Apr 23 $20 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Apr 23 $60 −$36 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Apr 23 $23 −$20 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Apr 23 $91 +$12 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Apr 23 $82 +$23 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Apr 23 $2 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Apr 23 $1 +$2 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Apr 23 $20 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Apr 23 $59 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Apr 23 $29 +$12 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Apr 23 $16 +$12 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Apr 23 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Apr 23 $19 −$4 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Apr 23 $24 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Apr 23 $12 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Apr 23 $18 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Apr 23 $12 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Apr 23 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Apr 23 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Apr 23 $5 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Apr 23 $6 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Apr 23 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Apr 23 $4 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Apr 23 $6 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Apr 23 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Apr 23 $1 −$1 -62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 62% +$309
crypto 37% −$130
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $0 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +56.2% +41.3% 57% 43% +68.5%
≤30d 14 +56.2% +41.3% 57% 43% +68.5%
≤90d 183 -5.9% -14.8% 50% 43% +0.3%
all 183 -5.9% -14.8% 50% 43% +0.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.8% 43% +0.3%
10% -23.0% 30% -9.3%
15% -30.4% 23% -18.1%
20% -37.3% 13% -26.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,244.24 · official $1,244.24 (match) · 914 history records