Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:04:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa110…dc18
crypto · 1706 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$196 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$783 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$783
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1554 / 330
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1884 / 1706
History coverage54d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day46.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1884 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$762
7 days−$785
14 days−$724
30 days−$739
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Solana Up or Down - December 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - April 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-05? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2025-12-08? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-08? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-12-08? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-08? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - December 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -52%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-05? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -18%
Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2025-12-08? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-08? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-12-08? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-08? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Clermont Foot 63 win on 2025-12-05? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will PSV win on 2025-12-09? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Málaga CF win on 2025-12-08? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10? Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will US Avellino 1912 win on 2025-12-08? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-07? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 9PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Paris FC win on 2025-12-07? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will AVS Futebol win on 2025-12-06? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will SSC Bari win on 2025-12-08? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-07? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-12-09? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$42
other 0% −$11
sports 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 579 -28.0% -34.8% 63% 3% -34.7%
≤30d 873 -18.9% -26.6% 73% 6% -18.0%
≤90d 1884 -9.3% -18.0% 82% 7% -13.0%
all 1884 -9.3% -18.0% 82% 7% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.0% 7% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.8% 2% -21.3%
15% -33.0% 1% -28.9%
20% -39.6% 1% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.21 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records