Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:03:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa119…10a7
crypto · 459 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$156 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$141 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$141
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses325 / 132
Open positions2
Markets (closed)457 / 459
History coverage9d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day115.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 457 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$183
7 days−$198
14 days−$141
30 days−$141
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 61¢ 64¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$6 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$16 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$9 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$5 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$8 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$189
other 1% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $44 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $17 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $14 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $7 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $14 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 334 -14.9% -23.0% 61% 34% -19.6%
≤30d 457 -8.9% -17.6% 71% 26% -13.7%
≤90d 457 -8.9% -17.6% 71% 26% -13.7%
all 457 -8.9% -17.6% 71% 26% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover115.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.6% 26% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.5% 21% -21.9%
15% -32.7% 11% -29.5%
20% -39.3% 7% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.17 · official $11.19 · 1418 history records