Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:43:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa11d…f795
sports · 55 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$70 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open −$32
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$227
Realized−$21
Unrealized−$32
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses17 / 26
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions12
Markets (closed)43 / 55
History coverage9d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day196.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 12 History 43 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$23
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $49 $62 +$13 (+26%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $46 $39 −$8 (-17%)
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $62 $31 −$31 (-50%)
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $14 $24 +$10 (+75%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $19 $18 −$1 (-7%)
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $18 $14 −$5 (-25%)
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $17 $13 −$4 (-25%)
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $16 $12 −$4 (-25%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-6%)
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $5 −$2 (-25%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-16.5) Knicks 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Detroit Tigers 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Athletics 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-15.5) Knicks 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 Over 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-12.5) Knicks 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs San Francisco Giants 42¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 $0 +16%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $2 +$2 +88%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $10 −$3 -26%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $2 +$2 +91%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $2 +$2 +78%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $2 +$2 +107%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $16 −$16 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $2 +$2 +95%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $2 +$2 +81%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 Jun 08 $4 −$4 -97%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 08 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $3 +$1 +27%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $11 −$11 -97%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Jun 06 $6 +$4 +60%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 06 $6 −$6 -98%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $3 −$3 -97%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $6 −$6 -98%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 06 $3 −$3 -97%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 06 $6 −$6 -97%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $3 −$3 -97%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $3 +$3 +91%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 06 $6 +$5 +81%
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) Jun 06 $22 −$15 -70%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $6 +$12 +194%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 06 $41 +$25 +61%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 06 $41 +$20 +50%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $3 +$3 +107%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $3 −$3 -97%
Spread: Knicks (-15.5) Jun 06 $3 −$3 -96%
Spread: Knicks (-10.5) Jun 06 $3 −$3 -96%
Spread: Knicks (-12.5) Jun 06 $3 −$3 -96%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Spread: Knicks (-16.5) Jun 05 $3 −$3 -96%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 05 $3 −$3 -98%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 05 $6 +$8 +137%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 05 $3 $0 -8%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Jun 05 $6 +$5 +78%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 52% −$57
sports 40% −$8
crypto 8% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 37m
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 38m
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 51m
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 1h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 1h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 2h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-29.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -2.9% -12.1% 53% 53% -43.6%
≤30d 43 -22.4% -29.8% 40% 40% -16.4%
≤90d 43 -22.4% -29.8% 40% 40% -16.4%
all 43 -22.4% -29.8% 40% 40% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover196.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.8% 40% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -36.5% 37% -24.4%
15% -42.6% 35% -31.7%
20% -48.3% 33% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $227.30 · official $227.30 (match) · 1729 history records