trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -68.0% | -71.1% | 11% | 0% | -67.2% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -68.0% | -71.1% | 11% | 0% | -67.2% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -70.6% | -73.4% | 10% | 0% | -72.8% |
| all | 10 | -70.6% | -73.4% | 10% | 0% | -72.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -73.4% | 0% | -72.8% |
| 10% | -76.0% | 0% | -75.4% |
| 15% | -78.3% | 0% | -77.8% |
| 20% | -80.4% | 0% | -79.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | $20 | $27 | +$7 (+33%) |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $20 | $25 | +$5 (+27%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | No | 48¢ | 58¢ | $20 | $24 | +$4 (+22%) |
| Spread: IR Iran (-1.5) | New Zealand | 75¢ | 86¢ | $20 | $23 | +$3 (+14%) |
| Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) | St. Louis Cardinals | 44¢ | 96¢ | $10 | $22 | +$12 (+119%) |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-0%) |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 | Under | 38¢ | 24¢ | $20 | $12 | −$8 (-38%) |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Tampa Bay Rays | 39¢ | 38¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-4%) |
| HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 56¢ | 54¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 | Under | 45¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $41 | −$7 | -18% |
| San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals | Jun 16 | $10 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$18 | -89% |
| New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score | Jun 15 | $20 | +$1 | +5% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Nottingham Open: Anna Blinkova vs Taylah Preston | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 20 | Mar 24 | $47 | −$44 | -94% |