trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -20.3% | -27.9% | 50% | 50% | -90.6% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 62% | 62% | -16.2% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +8.3% | -2.0% | 67% | 58% | -8.9% |
| all | 15 | +17.5% | +6.3% | 67% | 60% | +6.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +6.3% | 60% | +6.5% |
| 10% | -3.9% | 47% | -3.7% |
| 15% | -13.2% | 47% | -13.0% |
| 20% | -21.7% | 27% | -21.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $13 | +$7 | +60% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 11 | $179 | −$179 | -100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 07 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 22? | Jun 07 | $56 | +$11 | +20% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 31 | $150 | +$58 | +39% |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $116 | +$47 | +41% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 25 | $216 | −$15 | -7% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 22 | $32 | +$28 | +87% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 16 | $100 | +$41 | +41% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 11 | $100 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 01 | $120 | +$24 | +20% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Apr 05 | $50 | −$1 | -2% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Mar 01 | $50 | −$2 | -4% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | Mar 01 | $91 | +$90 | +98% |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Feb 28 | $259 | +$178 | +69% |