Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T20:38:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
A1 0xa13d…f67a sports 84 markets active 1h ago coverage 97d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$208 (-2%) realized −$208 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate67%56W / 28L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$142per market
Trades / day1.7pace
Fees−$68est.
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,209
7 days−$1,055
14 days−$1,015
30 days−$1,015
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 93% −$275
other 7% +$35
crypto 0% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -16.3% -24.3% 62% 28% -25.7%
≤30d 37 -15.2% -23.2% 65% 27% -24.2%
≤90d 72 -6.0% -15.0% 74% 35% -11.4%
all 84 -14.2% -22.4% 67% 31% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.4% 31% -11.5%
10% -29.8% 11% -19.9%
15% -36.6% 4% -27.7%
20% -42.8% 2% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 34% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
54% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$20 vs −$49 · ×0.41 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

97d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$208
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses56 / 28
Est. fees paid−$68
Open positions0
Markets (closed)84 / 84
History coverage97d
Avg bet$142
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 84 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Yibing Wu Jun 20 $226 +$22 +10%
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-03? Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Serna Jun 20 $104 −$104 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zhizhen Zhang vs Daniel Altmaier Jun 20 $234 −$234 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aleksandar Vukic vs Patrick Kypson Jun 20 $893 −$280 -31%
Istanbul: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Laura Pigossi Jun 20 $545 −$348 -64%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajda Jun 20 $390 −$290 -74%
Nottingham 2: Otto Virtanen vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 20 $215 +$10 +4%
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Paula Badosa Jun 19 $259 +$28 +11%
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 18 $242 +$17 +7%
Parma: Sebastian Ofner vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 18 $273 +$8 +3%
Dublin: Grigor Dimitrov vs Kyrian Jacquet Jun 18 $236 +$38 +16%
Brescia: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Elizara Yaneva Jun 18 $223 +$13 +6%
Royan: Gerard Campana Lee vs Thomas Faurel Jun 17 $166 +$18 +11%
Royan: Kilian Feldbausch vs Svyatoslav Gulin Jun 17 $159 +$7 +4%
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 17 $150 +$9 +6%
Nottingham 2: Jacob Fearnley vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 17 $121 +$30 +24%
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 17 $109 +$12 +11%
Dublin: Oliver Crawford vs Daniil Glinka Jun 16 $114 +$4 +4%
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Jun 16 $1 −$1 -99%
Poznan: Martin Krumich vs Alan Wazny Jun 16 $112 +$3 +3%
Royan: Philip Henning vs Gerard Campana Lee Jun 16 $116 +$13 +11%
Royan: Raphael Perot vs Robin Bertrand Jun 16 $103 +$12 +12%
Parma: Daniel Galan vs Zsombor Piros Jun 16 $109 $0 -0%
Parma: Franco Agamenone vs Stefano Napolitano Jun 15 $140 −$37 -27%
Parma: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 15 $139 +$10 +7%
Brescia: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 15 $148 −$14 -10%
HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 15 $101 +$35 +35%
Royan: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Alejandro Moro Canas Jun 15 $116 +$2 +2%
Brescia: Raluca Serban vs Mayar Sherif Jun 15 $5 +$1 +15%
Nottingham Open: Maya Joint vs Yulia Starodubtseva Jun 15 $140 −$25 -18%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 10 $96 +$8 +8%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $91 +$5 +5%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Ella McDonald Jun 09 $92 +$6 +6%
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 09 $66 +$26 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Simona Waltert May 07 $709 −$3 -0%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Sinja Kraus May 06 $310 +$41 +13%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapova May 06 $231 +$78 +34%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Rebeka Masarova May 06 $209 +$23 +11%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munar May 06 $405 +$16 +4%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lilli Tagger vs Maria Sakkari May 06 $225 +$247 +110%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria May 06 $202 +$32 +16%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Petra Marcinko vs Oleksandra Oliynykova May 05 $353 +$51 +14%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Lilli Tagger vs Alina Korn May 05 $218 +$135 +62%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Fa May 04 $254 +$31 +12%
Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi May 04 $250 +$3 +1%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Jan Choin May 04 $264 +$22 +8%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Leandro Riedi vs Vilius Ga May 04 $258 +$5 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Yibing Wu SELL Jan Choinski 100¢ $247 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Yibing Wu BUY Jan Choinski 91¢ $226 1h
Nottingham 2: Otto Virtanen vs Christopher O'Connell SELL Christopher OConnell 99¢ $225 3h
Nottingham 2: Otto Virtanen vs Christopher O'Connell BUY Christopher OConnell 95¢ $215 4h
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Paula Badosa SELL Linda Noskova 100¢ $287 32h
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Paula Badosa BUY Linda Noskova 90¢ $259 32h
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Yannick Hanfmann SELL Alexander Zverev 100¢ $259 2d
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Yannick Hanfmann BUY Alexander Zverev 93¢ $242 2d
Parma: Sebastian Ofner vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Sebastian Ofner 100¢ $281 2d
Parma: Sebastian Ofner vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Sebastian Ofner 97¢ $273 2d
Dublin: Grigor Dimitrov vs Kyrian Jacquet SELL Kyrian Jacquet 99¢ $274 2d
Dublin: Grigor Dimitrov vs Kyrian Jacquet BUY Kyrian Jacquet 85¢ $236 2d
Brescia: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Elizara Yaneva SELL Elizara Yaneva 100¢ $236 2d
Brescia: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Elizara Yaneva BUY Elizara Yaneva 94¢ $223 2d
Royan: Gerard Campana Lee vs Thomas Faurel SELL Gerard Campana Lee 99¢ $184 3d
Royan: Gerard Campana Lee vs Thomas Faurel BUY Gerard Campana Lee 89¢ $166 3d
Royan: Kilian Feldbausch vs Svyatoslav Gulin SELL Kilian Feldbausch 100¢ $166 3d
Royan: Kilian Feldbausch vs Svyatoslav Gulin BUY Kilian Feldbausch 96¢ $159 3d
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Katarina Kuzmova SELL Susan Bandecchi 100¢ $159 3d
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Katarina Kuzmova BUY Susan Bandecchi 94¢ $150 3d
Nottingham 2: Jacob Fearnley vs Benjamin Bonzi SELL Benjamin Bonzi 99¢ $151 3d
Nottingham 2: Jacob Fearnley vs Benjamin Bonzi BUY Benjamin Bonzi 79¢ $121 3d
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala SELL Alexandra Eala 99¢ $121 3d
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala BUY Alexandra Eala 89¢ $109 3d
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? BUY Yes 35¢ $10 4d
Dublin: Oliver Crawford vs Daniil Glinka SELL Oliver Crawford 100¢ $119 4d
Dublin: Oliver Crawford vs Daniil Glinka BUY Oliver Crawford 96¢ $114 4d
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo SELL Gabriel Diallo 0¢ $0 4d
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo BUY Gabriel Diallo 7¢ $1 4d
Poznan: Martin Krumich vs Alan Wazny SELL Martin Krumich 99¢ $115 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 197 history records