Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T21:52:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A1 0xa15e…0e43 crypto 53 markets active 6d ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (101 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$3 (-1%) realized −$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate42%22W / 31L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day101.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% −$11
other 4% +$2
politics 3% $0
sports 2% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (101 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 +1.9% -7.8% 42% 34% -13.7%
≤30d 53 +1.9% -7.8% 42% 34% -13.7%
≤90d 53 +1.9% -7.8% 42% 34% -13.7%
all 53 +1.9% -7.8% 42% 34% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover101.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.8% 34% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 32% -21.9%
15% -24.7% 32% -29.5%
20% -32.1% 28% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
18% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
5.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$4 · ×1.26 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses22 / 31
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)53 / 53
History coverage3d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day101.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 53 Trades
no open positions (20 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$25 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$11 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$10 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$14 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$6 +301%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$10 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$6 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$16 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$6 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$5 +236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$8 +244%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$5 +236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -45%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 11 $1 $0 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 326 history records