Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:08:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A1 0xa15e…8956 crypto 1409 markets active 6d ago coverage 27d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$15 (+1%) realized +$15 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate86%1210W / 199L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day52.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$6
14 days−$5
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 -6.4% -15.3% 81% 52% -15.3%
≤30d 1329 +0.0% -9.5% 86% 55% -9.2%
≤90d 1409 -0.3% -9.8% 86% 54% -9.6%
all 1409 -0.3% -9.8% 86% 54% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 54% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 21% -18.2%
15% -26.3% 2% -26.1%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
31% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses1210 / 199
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1409 / 1409
History coverage27d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day52.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1409 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3285 history records