| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? |
Jun 19 |
$30 |
−$29 |
-98% |
| Kash Patel out by June 30? |
Jun 19 |
$50 |
−$34 |
-68% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
Jun 19 |
$15 |
+$7 |
+49% |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
Jun 19 |
$110 |
−$11 |
-10% |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? |
Jun 01 |
$25 |
+$46 |
+186% |
| Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? |
May 26 |
$10 |
−$10 |
-92% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
May 26 |
$10 |
−$7 |
-74% |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
May 26 |
$10 |
−$3 |
-32% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? |
May 26 |
$25 |
−$10 |
-40% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
May 26 |
$5 |
+$4 |
+85% |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? |
May 20 |
$5 |
+$2 |
+40% |
| World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? |
May 18 |
$45 |
−$37 |
-83% |
| Blue tsunami in 2026? |
May 09 |
$20 |
+$8 |
+39% |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more? |
Apr 22 |
$25 |
+$13 |
+51% |
| Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? |
Apr 22 |
$25 |
+$40 |
+158% |
| Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? |
Apr 21 |
$5 |
−$4 |
-84% |
| Revolut IPO before 2027? |
Apr 21 |
$5 |
−$4 |
-76% |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more? |
Apr 15 |
$10 |
−$10 |
-100% |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? |
Apr 15 |
$15 |
−$10 |
-69% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? |
Apr 15 |
$20 |
−$17 |
-87% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? |
Apr 15 |
$15 |
−$10 |
-69% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Apr 15 |
$10 |
−$4 |
-36% |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more? |
Apr 15 |
$15 |
+$58 |
+386% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? |
Apr 15 |
$20 |
+$180 |
+900% |
| Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorn |
Apr 10 |
$15 |
−$15 |
-98% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? |
Mar 30 |
$10 |
−$10 |
-100% |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? |
Mar 30 |
$5 |
−$5 |
-100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? |
Mar 30 |
$20 |
−$20 |
-100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? |
Mar 30 |
$10 |
−$10 |
-100% |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? |
Mar 30 |
$10 |
−$10 |
-100% |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? |
Mar 30 |
$35 |
−$35 |
-100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? |
Mar 30 |
$5 |
−$5 |
-100% |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? |
Mar 30 |
$6 |
−$6 |
-100% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? |
Mar 23 |
$50 |
−$17 |
-33% |
| Another US bank failure by March 31? |
Mar 19 |
$10 |
−$2 |
-25% |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more? |
Mar 19 |
$20 |
+$12 |
+61% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
Mar 17 |
$80 |
+$29 |
+36% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Mar 17 |
$10 |
+$11 |
+111% |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? |
Feb 28 |
$35 |
+$33 |
+93% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? |
Feb 28 |
$25 |
+$54 |
+217% |
| Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31? |
Feb 28 |
$25 |
+$68 |
+273% |
| Will all of Trump's children attend the State of the Union? |
Feb 27 |
$5 |
+$21 |
+426% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? |
Feb 26 |
$10 |
−$10 |
-100% |
| Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? |
Feb 26 |
$20 |
−$20 |
-100% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? |
Feb 23 |
$100 |
+$41 |
+41% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun |
Feb 03 |
$50 |
+$10 |
+19% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Feb |
Feb 03 |
$50 |
+$48 |
+95% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? |
Dec 19 |
$1 |
$0 |
+9% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? |
Dec 19 |
$10 |
+$3 |
+30% |