Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:35:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa18b…563e
crypto · 692 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$413 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$420 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized−$420
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses323 / 365
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)688 / 692
History coverage13d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day205.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 688 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$260
7 days−$192
14 days−$420
30 days−$420
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? No 1¢ 1¢ $12 $10 −$2 (-20%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 3.5 Over 0¢ 0¢ $2 $9 +$7 (+350%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 4.5 Over 0¢ 0¢ $1 $4 +$4 (+350%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5 Under 0¢ 0¢ $1 $4 +$4 (+350%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? Yes 21¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$12 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$397
other 0% −$13
economics 0% −$2
sports 0% $0
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 309 -8.6% -17.3% 48% 39% -14.1%
≤30d 688 -8.0% -16.7% 47% 40% -14.9%
≤90d 688 -8.0% -16.7% 47% 40% -14.9%
all 688 -8.0% -16.7% 47% 40% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover205.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 40% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 34% -23.0%
15% -32.0% 30% -30.5%
20% -38.7% 25% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.53 · official $30.53 · 3500 history records