Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa19d…3909
sports · 361 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$7,980 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,704 · open +$621
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 17 History 343 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8,845
7 days+$869
14 days+$7,704
30 days+$7,704
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 67¢ 100¢ $4,329 $6,457 +$2,129 (+49%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 91¢ 92¢ $1,820 $1,830 +$10 (+1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ 74¢ $994 $1,006 +$12 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner MOUZ 35¢ 100¢ $339 $968 +$629 (+186%)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) TheMongolz 49¢ 50¢ $498 $503 +$5 (+1%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 35¢ 100¢ $141 $404 +$263 (+186%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 51¢ 48¢ $382 $360 −$22 (-6%)
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2? No 65¢ 70¢ $268 $289 +$21 (+8%)
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 79¢ 99¢ $34 $43 +$8 (+25%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner T1 51¢ 100¢ $8 $16 +$8 (+96%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 48¢ 48¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No 88¢ 88¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+0%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) TheMongolz 82¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+22%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 30¢ $2,299 $4 −$2,295 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner G2 Ares 33¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Hanwha Life Esports 23¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) FURIA 63¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 12¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A HMBLE 12¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B PCIFIC $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 50¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 30¢ $306 $0 −$306 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,417 +$129 +5%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,838 −$821 -29%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $741 +$131 +18%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5) Jun 12 $197 +$31 +16%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) Jun 12 $49 +$1 +3%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $31 +$12 +38%
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) Jun 11 $43 +$24 +56%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $329 +$166 +50%
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) Jun 11 $277 +$218 +79%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $49 +$11 +24%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $138 +$46 +33%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $795 +$237 +30%
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Jun 11 $165 +$85 +52%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 9? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $71 −$20 -29%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $28 −$28 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $324 +$288 +89%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $16 −$16 -100%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $27 −$27 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election? Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Anyone's Legend win LPL 2026 Split 2? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $254 −$4 -2%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $782 +$7 +1%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5) Jun 11 $17 −$17 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $33 −$33 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $375 −$24 -6%
Will Eligia Santucci win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral electio Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $252 −$140 -55%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $162 −$162 -100%
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 11 $134 −$134 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs FULL SENSE (+2.5) Jun 11 $433 −$160 -37%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $104 −$104 -100%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 11 $101 −$101 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $222 −$222 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $124 −$124 -100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $185 −$185 -100%
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) Jun 11 $270 −$270 -100%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $134 −$134 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $540 −$540 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 71% +$3,302
politics 20% −$702
world 7% +$5,421
other 1% +$3
finance 0% +$316
crypto 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $52 30m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $382 30m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 48¢ $8 32m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $2,546 33m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $17 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $1 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $5 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $57 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $1 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $0 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $8 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $2 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $0 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $0 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $0 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $0 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $0 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $5 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $6 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $3 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $3 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $33 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $4 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $4 37m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $6 37m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $3 37m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $3 37m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $3 37m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $51 37m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $1 37m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 247 -6.4% -15.3% 55% 39% -9.1%
≤30d 343 +3.0% -6.9% 56% 41% -7.0%
≤90d 343 +3.0% -6.9% 56% 41% -7.0%
all 343 +3.0% -6.9% 56% 41% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover225.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.9% 41% -7.0%
10% -15.8% 31% -15.9%
15% ← realistic here -23.9% 26% -24.0%
20% -31.4% 18% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,899.61 · official $11,899.61 (match) · 3500 history records