Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:31:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa1a5…004a
crypto · 423 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$23 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses202 / 221
Open positions0
Markets (closed)423 / 423
History coverage124d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day3.5
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 423 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$3 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 08 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$3 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Mar 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Mar 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Mar 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Mar 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Mar 20 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Mar 20 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Mar 20 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Mar 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Mar 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Mar 20 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Mar 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Mar 20 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Mar 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Mar 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +7.9% -2.3% 53% 53% -18.1%
≤30d 36 +7.9% -2.3% 53% 53% -18.1%
≤90d 153 -8.2% -16.9% 45% 45% -19.7%
all 423 -2.7% -11.9% 48% 48% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.9% 48% -8.1%
10% -20.4% 48% -16.9%
15% -28.1% 48% -24.9%
20% -35.1% 48% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1773 history records