trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +10.2% | -0.3% | 75% | 25% | +46.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +10.2% | -0.3% | 75% | 25% | +46.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +32.7% | +20.1% | 89% | 33% | +89.3% |
| all | 15 | +20.4% | +8.9% | 93% | 20% | +86.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +8.9% | 20% | +86.6% |
| 10% | -1.5% | 20% | +68.8% |
| 15% | -11.0% | 20% | +52.5% |
| 20% | -19.7% | 20% | +37.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5 | Under | 69¢ | 68¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $4 | $4 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asuncion 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria | Jun 16 | $26 | −$26 | -99% |
| Parma: Pedro Martinez vs Daniel Rincon | Jun 16 | $71 | +$99 | +140% |
| SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company? | Jun 16 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | Jun 16 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worl | May 13 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Apr 18 | $200 | +$288 | +144% |
| Lightning vs. Canadiens | Apr 13 | $103 | +$107 | +104% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 on March 9? | Apr 09 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in February? | Apr 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru | Mar 07 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | Mar 07 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 25 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less tha | Feb 25 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 25 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | Feb 25 | $3 | $0 | +0% |