Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:02:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa1c3…c844
crypto · 1046 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$472 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$472 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$472
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses532 / 855
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1387 / 1046
History coverage9d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day279.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1387 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$844
7 days−$477
14 days−$472
30 days−$472
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$425
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-27.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1170 -24.1% -31.3% 37% 31% -14.6%
≤30d 1387 -19.9% -27.6% 38% 32% -13.7%
≤90d 1387 -19.9% -27.6% 38% 32% -13.7%
all 1387 -19.9% -27.6% 38% 32% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover279.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.6% 32% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -34.5% 29% -21.9%
15% -40.8% 25% -29.5%
20% -46.6% 18% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records