Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:32:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa1d0…9369
other · 58 markets active 2h ago
3.5score
+$7 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses12 / 45
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)57 / 58
History coverage615d
Avg bet$360
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown99%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 1 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$0
14 days+$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No 100¢ 100¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $16 $0 -0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $21 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? Jun 05 $33 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? Jun 05 $45 $0 +0%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? May 28 $15 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $23 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $17 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 22 $39 $0 -0%
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in May 21 $23 $0 -0%
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 20 $17 $0 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 18 $104 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 11 $115 $0 -0%
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $7 +$5 +62%
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 08 $110 $0 -0%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? May 07 $112 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 06 $112 $0 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 01 $112 $0 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 Apr 30 $108 $0 -0%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? Apr 25 $105 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 25 $110 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 25 $109 $0 -0%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 25 $110 $0 -0%
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 24 $104 $0 -0%
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 24 $103 $0 -0%
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? Apr 23 $108 $0 -0%
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? Apr 23 $107 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Apr 23 $102 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? Apr 16 $103 $0 -0%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 16 $210 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 15 $107 $0 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 15 $112 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m Apr 14 $109 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Apr 13 $107 $0 -0%
Sabres vs. Rangers Apr 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Hornets vs. Celtics Apr 08 $7 +$3 +46%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 07 $5 +$8 +146%
Knicks vs. Hawks Apr 07 $8 +$8 +105%
Pacers vs. Bulls Apr 06 $16 −$16 -100%
Red Wings vs. Sabres Apr 06 $30 −$30 -100%
Kings vs. Nets Apr 01 $22 +$22 +100%
Oilers vs. Utah Mar 27 $26 +$33 +127%
Sabres vs. Ducks Mar 24 $23 +$22 +96%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m Mar 22 $70 $0 +0%
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? Mar 06 $88 +$1 +1%
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch? Feb 27 $4 $0 -1%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 08 $13,553 −$14 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 07 $2 $0 -1%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 18 $23 −$1 -5%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Aug 01 $14 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 67% −$14
politics 22% −$14
other 8% +$2
sports 1% +$32
tech 1% $0
culture 1% $0
world 0% +$1
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $16 1h
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $16 5d
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $16 5d
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $16 6d
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $17 6d
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $21 7d
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $21 7d
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 100¢ $15 15d
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 15d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $23 16d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $23 16d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $17 17d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $17 17d
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? BUY No 100¢ $33 17d
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $45 20d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $25 21d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $25 21d
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in SELL No 100¢ $23 22d
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in BUY No 100¢ $23 22d
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $17 23d
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $17 23d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $14 24d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $14 24d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $104 25d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $104 25d
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $115 31d
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $115 32d
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-10? BUY No 61¢ $7 33d
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $109 35d
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $110 35d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 11 -0.1% -9.6% 18% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 44 +6.3% -3.8% 23% 16% -8.4%
all 57 +4.7% -5.3% 21% 12% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.3% 12% -9.5%
10% -14.3% 12% -18.2%
15% -22.6% 12% -26.1%
20% -30.2% 11% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.24 · official $16.24 (match) · 309 history records