Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:08:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa1dd…bbbd
crypto · 76 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses70 / 5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)75 / 76
History coverage101d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 1 History 75 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $21 $21 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $19 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $16 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $14 $0 -2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 6? Jun 06 $18 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $17 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $17 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $8 $0 +0%
Will White House post 100-119 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 31 $15 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $12 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28? May 28 $16 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26? May 26 $9 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23? May 23 $13 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $8 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21? May 21 $12 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 19 $8 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 15 $12 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14? May 14 $15 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? May 12 $9 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? May 11 $9 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10? May 10 $14 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? May 08 $9 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7? May 07 $10 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? May 06 $7 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5? May 05 $10 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? May 05 $15 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3? May 03 $7 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026? May 02 $5 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026? Apr 27 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 24? Apr 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 23? Apr 23 $8 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22? Apr 23 $6 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? Apr 22 $8 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 16? Apr 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 19? Apr 20 $13 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18? Apr 19 $12 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16? Apr 16 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 15? Apr 16 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 14? Apr 14 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13? Apr 13 $16 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12? Apr 13 $8 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 11? Apr 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 10? Apr 10 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 9? Apr 09 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 8? Apr 09 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7? Apr 07 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 6? Apr 07 $30 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 4? Apr 05 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3? Apr 04 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 1? Apr 03 $30 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 74% −$4
other 14% $0
world 8% +$1
finance 2% $0
sports 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $21 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $19 38h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $16 2d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? SELL No 77¢ $2 3d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? SELL No 77¢ $4 3d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? SELL No 77¢ $8 3d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY No 78¢ $14 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 6? BUY No 100¢ $18 6d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $17 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4? BUY No 100¢ $17 8d
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $8 9d
Will White House post 100-119 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 10d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 13d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 14d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28? BUY No 100¢ $16 15d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26? BUY No 100¢ $9 17d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23? BUY No 100¢ $13 20d
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $8 21d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21? BUY No 100¢ $12 22d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $8 24d
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 28d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14? BUY No 100¢ $15 29d
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $9 31d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $9 32d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10? BUY No 99¢ $14 33d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $9 35d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7? BUY No 100¢ $10 36d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $7 36d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5? BUY No 99¢ $10 38d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 39d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -0.2% -9.7% 80% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 18 +0.1% -9.5% 94% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 68 -1.5% -10.9% 96% 0% -9.8%
all 75 -1.3% -10.7% 93% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -19.3% 0% -18.4%
15% -27.1% 0% -26.3%
20% -34.2% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.80 · official $20.80 (match) · 238 history records