trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 50% | 8% | -12.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 50% | 8% | -12.1% |
| all | 25 | +17.9% | +6.7% | 68% | 12% | -3.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +6.7% | 12% | -3.1% |
| 10% | -3.5% | 12% | -12.4% |
| 15% | -12.8% | 8% | -20.8% |
| 20% | -21.4% | 8% | -28.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 23 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 23 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 23 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 07 | $22 | −$10 | -47% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $66 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 07 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 06 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 04 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 31 | $3 | +$1 | +29% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 31 | $48 | +$1 | +2% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 28 | $53 | −$5 | -10% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 27 | $28 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | Dec 21 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on June 6? | Jun 08 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | May 23 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 14 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 13 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on March 11? | Mar 12 | $80 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Milady" during Crypto Summit on Friday? | Mar 11 | $79 | +$1 | +1% |
| NJIT vs. Binghamton | Mar 06 | $17 | +$62 | +354% |
| George Washington vs. Fordham | Mar 04 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Marshall vs. Old Dominion | Mar 04 | $8 | +$8 | +100% |