Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T02:28:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A1 0xa1e8…a1e8 crypto 453 markets active 1h ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (200 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$385 (-11%) realized −$385 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate45%205W / 248L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day199.7pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$507
other 1% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (200 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 453 -9.5% -18.1% 45% 43% -21.5%
≤30d 453 -9.5% -18.1% 45% 43% -21.5%
≤90d 453 -9.5% -18.1% 45% 43% -21.5%
all 453 -9.5% -18.1% 45% 43% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover199.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 43% -21.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.9% 43% -29.0%
15% -33.1% 32% -35.9%
20% -39.7% 28% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$6 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.63 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$385
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses205 / 248
Open positions0
Markets (closed)453 / 453
History coverage7d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day199.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 453 Trades
no open positions (62 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 23 $50 −$47 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 23 $41 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 23 $6 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 23 $53 −$24 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 23 $36 −$15 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 23 $55 +$5 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 23 $55 −$41 -74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$5 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$5 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 23 $8 +$6 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$5 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $50 −$17 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 22 $55 +$5 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$5 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 22 $13 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$4 -72%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$1 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$4 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$5 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$5 +98%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$3 -58%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$1 -21%
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$3 -67%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$1 -25%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$4 -72%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$3 -70%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$3 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 21 $5 +$5 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$4 -89%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$3 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$3 -70%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$3 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$1 -23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 21 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -72%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 21 $5 +$5 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 21 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 21 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$4 -82%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$2 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$3 -60%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$3 -58%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 -5%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 -23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $38 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $27 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $29 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $53 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $53 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $32 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.42 · official $0.00 · 1375 history records