Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:34:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa1eb…df7f
other · 239 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$98 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$98 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$98
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses15 / 224
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)239 / 239
History coverage129d
Avg bet$218
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 0 History 239 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$21
14 days−$34
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 13 $222 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $126 $0 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 12 $281 −$7 -2%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $235 −$1 -0%
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $53 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $271 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $211 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 11 $713 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $421 −$1 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $333 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $485 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 10 $146 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $696 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $54 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $384 −$1 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $150 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $527 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $642 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $398 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $835 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $203 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $372 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 08 $334 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $450 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $405 −$1 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $56 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $207 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $118 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 05 $122 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $137 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $260 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $222 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $190 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $417 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $160 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $407 −$1 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $337 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 04 $618 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $126 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 03 $144 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 03 $58 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $491 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $261 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $386 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 02 $283 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $202 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $271 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 01 $168 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $59 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 31 $740 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 44% −$42
sports 25% −$19
culture 8% −$15
politics 7% −$6
economics 7% −$4
crypto 4% −$3
world 3% −$2
tech 2% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $52 4m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $52 1h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $52 2h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $52 3h
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 SELL No 98¢ $52 6h
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 BUY No 98¢ $53 7h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $53 9h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $53 10h
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 96¢ $53 11h
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 96¢ $53 13h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $53 25h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 98¢ $53 26h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $53 32h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $53 34h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $24 34h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $30 35h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $53 38h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $53 39h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $53 41h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $53 45h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $53 47h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $53 2d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $54 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $54 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $54 2d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $54 2d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $54 2d
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $54 3d
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $54 3d
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $54 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -0.3% -9.8% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 76 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 173 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
all 239 -0.2% -9.7% 6% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.4% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1352 history records