Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:17:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
A1 0xa1f3…a7ca crypto 1492 markets active 1h ago coverage 86d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnoverP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$37 (+0%) realized +$37 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate92%1369W / 123L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$41per market
Trades / day22.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 86d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,965
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 134 +2.3% -7.4% 94% 2% -9.3%
≤30d 540 +2.0% -7.8% 93% 6% -9.4%
≤90d 1492 -0.6% -10.0% 92% 5% -10.3%
all 1492 -0.6% -10.0% 92% 5% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 5% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 0% -18.9%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.7%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
88% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$48 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

86d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1369 / 123
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1492 / 1492
History coverage86d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day22.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1492 Trades
no open positions (97 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $92 +$8 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $93 +$7 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $95 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $95 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $95 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $95 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $58 +$3 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $93 +$7 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $94 +$6 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $92 +$8 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $95 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $94 +$6 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $93 +$6 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $95 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $93 +$7 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $93 +$7 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $94 +$6 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $94 +$6 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $94 +$6 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $90 +$10 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $95 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $95 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $95 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $93 +$7 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $90 −$89 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $93 +$7 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $92 +$8 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $95 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $92 +$8 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $94 +$6 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $90 +$10 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $95 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $92 +$8 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $95 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $93 +$7 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $47 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $92 +$8 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $93 +$7 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $93 +$7 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $84 +$5 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $95 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $92 +$8 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $94 +$6 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $185 −$87 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $95 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $90 +$10 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $95 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $93 +$7 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $146 −$88 -61%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $93 +$6 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $92 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $93 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $95 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $95 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $56 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $38 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $35 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $32 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $38 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $93 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $94 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $92 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $18 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $77 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $94 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $93 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $17 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $78 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $93 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $93 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $94 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $94 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $94 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $90 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $95 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $95 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3338 history records