Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T03:27:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A2 0xa20d…f76c crypto 269 markets active 0h ago coverage 101d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$58 (-1%) realized −$58 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate94%253W / 16L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day3.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$9
14 days+$14
30 days−$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$61
world 0% $0
other 0% $0
sports 0% $0
politics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +1.1% -8.5% 100% 0% -8.5%
≤30d 193 +0.0% -9.5% 99% 0% -10.4%
≤90d 263 -0.0% -9.6% 95% 0% -10.3%
all 269 -1.0% -10.5% 94% 0% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 0% -10.3%
10% -19.0% 0% -18.9%
15% -26.8% 0% -26.7%
20% -34.0% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$8 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.54 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

101d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$58
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses253 / 16
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)269 / 269
History coverage101d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day3.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 269 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 24 $28 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 24 $28 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 24 $28 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 23 $28 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 23 $28 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 23 $28 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 23 $28 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 22 $28 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 22 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 22 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 22 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 22 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 21 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 20 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 20 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 19 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 19 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 19 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 19 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 18 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 18 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $28 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $28 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $28 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 563 history records