trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $866 | $865 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 14 | $1,747 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $869 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 09 | $868 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 04 | $870 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 02 | $876 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 31 | $872 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $878 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 26 | $874 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 24 | $877 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $881 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 18 | $883 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 16 | $883 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 14 | $885 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 12 | $867 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 10 | $892 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | May 08 | $888 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 07 | $889 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | May 04 | $894 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 02 | $894 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 30 | $893 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 28 | $900 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | Apr 26 | $901 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 24 | $902 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 22 | $903 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 20 | $903 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 18 | $904 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $905 | −$1 | -0% |