Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:14:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa216…7020
crypto · 1258 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$174 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$174 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$174
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses708 / 575
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1283 / 1258
History coverage28d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day122.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1283 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$73
7 days−$92
14 days−$129
30 days−$174
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$3 -107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -413%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +71%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$120
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $0 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 369 -8.7% -17.4% 41% 37% -22.4%
≤30d 1283 -3.3% -12.5% 55% 47% -17.1%
≤90d 1283 -3.3% -12.5% 55% 47% -17.1%
all 1283 -3.3% -12.5% 55% 47% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover122.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 47% -17.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 35% -25.0%
15% -28.5% 21% -32.2%
20% -35.5% 11% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records