trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | +5.1% | -4.9% | 62% | 62% | +4.4% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +8.4% | -1.9% | 64% | 64% | +5.9% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +8.4% | -1.9% | 64% | 64% | +5.9% |
| all | 25 | +8.4% | -1.9% | 64% | 64% | +5.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.9% | 64% | +5.9% |
| 10% | -11.3% | 60% | -4.2% |
| 15% | -19.8% | 44% | -13.5% |
| 20% | -27.7% | 36% | -22.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 62¢ | 64¢ | $30 | $31 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 60¢ | 60¢ | $21 | $21 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 12¢ | $3 | $4 | +$1 (+45%) |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $4 | +$1 | +32% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $2 | −$2 | -94% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $9 | +$4 | +46% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $2 | +$1 | +70% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 20 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $3 | +$2 | +61% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$2 | +17% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $3 | +$1 | +30% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $2 | +$4 | +180% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $3 | +$1 | +24% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $36 | +$14 | +38% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $14 | +$5 | +35% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$1 | +51% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 16 | $4 | +$7 | +155% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $4 | +$6 | +152% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $3 | +$2 | +78% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$2 | +53% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$3 | +88% |