trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) | Japan | 91¢ | 90¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | Jun 14 | $13 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 21? | Jun 07 | $12 | +$1 | +8% |
| Burgos CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 | Jun 07 | $16 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | May 21 | $1,541 | −$5 | -0% |
| CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 4.5 | May 21 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) | May 21 | $18 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | Mar 31 | $45 | +$23 | +52% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Mar 20 | $1,549 | +$10 | +1% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the e | Mar 20 | $64 | −$2 | -3% |
| Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | Mar 20 | $1,511 | +$10 | +1% |
| Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | Mar 20 | $71 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026? | Mar 20 | $140 | +$7 | +5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026? | Mar 20 | $1,479 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish par | Mar 20 | $1,463 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 | Mar 20 | $1,589 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026? | Mar 20 | $62 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16 | Mar 20 | $122 | −$8 | -7% |
| Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary electi | Mar 20 | $1,511 | +$5 | +0% |
| Canadiens vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5 | Mar 20 | $124 | +$43 | +35% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +10.8% | +0.2% | 100% | 100% | +0.2% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -10.2% | -18.7% | 67% | 33% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 68% | 21% | -8.9% |
| all | 19 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 68% | 21% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.5% | 21% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -17.3% | 11% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 5% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -32.6% | 5% | -32.8% |