trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +60.5% | +45.2% | 86% | 86% | +40.2% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +60.5% | +45.2% | 86% | 86% | +40.2% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +3.1% | -6.7% | 57% | 57% | +17.7% |
| all | 29 | +2.4% | -7.4% | 55% | 48% | +6.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.4% | 48% | +6.1% |
| 10% | -16.2% | 45% | -4.1% |
| 15% | -24.3% | 34% | -13.3% |
| 20% | -31.7% | 28% | -21.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 51¢ | 64¢ | $188 | $234 | +$46 (+24%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $148 | +$43 | +29% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $100 | +$48 | +48% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $100 | +$190 | +191% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? AND | Jun 19 | $100 | +$47 | +47% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $197 | −$196 | -99% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $325 | +$353 | +108% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $104 | +$105 | +100% |
| CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5 | Apr 04 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03? | Apr 03 | $8 | +$2 | +28% |
| Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5 | Apr 03 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Chargers vs. Patriots: 1H Moneyline | Apr 03 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) | Apr 03 | $94 | −$94 | -100% |
| 49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5 | Apr 03 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31? | Apr 03 | $4 | +$4 | +92% |
| Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch? | Jan 19 | $30 | +$2 | +5% |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Jan 18 | $56 | +$38 | +68% |
| Bills vs. Broncos | Jan 18 | $216 | −$48 | -22% |
| Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 51.5 | Jan 11 | $52 | +$42 | +81% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Jan 11 | $65 | +$42 | +64% |
| Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Jan 11 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Spread: Rams (-10.5) | Jan 11 | $53 | +$47 | +88% |
| Spread: Indiana (-3.5) | Jan 10 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Jan 09 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Jan 09 | $300 | +$58 | +19% |
| Miami vs. Ole Miss | Jan 09 | $50 | −$1 | -2% |
| O/U 51.5 | Jan 09 | $54 | +$16 | +30% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9? | Jan 08 | $100 | +$4 | +4% |
| 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) | Jan 06 | $51 | −$5 | -9% |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | Dec 26 | $26 | $0 | -1% |