trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 29% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 44% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 40% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 20 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 65% | 0% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.5% | 0% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -17.3% | 0% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 0% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -32.6% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 21 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 21 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 20 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Jun 19 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $39 | $0 | +1% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $32 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $33 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 26 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 25 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 13–20? | Jun 22 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | May 18 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | May 18 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority? | May 18 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next C | Apr 11 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio | Apr 10 | $7 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 08 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference? | Mar 26 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Snow White' gross more than 49m on opening weekend? | Mar 23 | $11 | $0 | +2% |