trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +62.3% | +46.8% | 42% | 17% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +62.3% | +46.8% | 42% | 17% | -9.5% |
| all | 25 | +30.4% | +18.0% | 48% | 8% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +18.0% | 8% | -9.3% |
| 10% | +6.7% | 4% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -3.6% | 4% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -13.1% | 4% | -33.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 27 | $40 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 26 | $75 | $0 | -0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 26 | $66 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $66 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 25 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 25 | $36 | $0 | -1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 24 | $32 | +$4 | +12% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 22 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 21 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 20 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 19 | $35 | −$4 | -12% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%? | Jun 24 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%? | Jun 24 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 17 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon CZ in his first 100 days? | Apr 16 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 30 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 21-28? | Mar 27 | $13 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in his first 100 days? | Mar 22 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14? | Mar 20 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 18 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Illinois win the Big Ten conference tournament? | Mar 14 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 13 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 11 | $13 | $0 | -0% |