Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:31:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa253…0181
crypto · 689 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6,348 -38%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,348 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$82
Realized−$6,348
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses360 / 555
Open positions0
Markets (closed)915 / 689
History coverage16d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day192.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 915 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,703
7 days−$7,558
14 days−$6,798
30 days−$6,348
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $25 $43 +$18 (+71%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $15 $33 +$18 (+118%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 32¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+212%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 34¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+194%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 30¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+233%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 34¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+191%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+108%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+108%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+108%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+30%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +3720%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5 +1929%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$11 -111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,587
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-24.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 408 -59.3% -63.2% 8% 7% -86.2%
≤30d 915 -16.2% -24.1% 39% 32% -35.3%
≤90d 915 -16.2% -24.1% 39% 32% -35.3%
all 915 -16.2% -24.1% 39% 32% -35.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover192.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.1% 32% -35.3%
10% ← realistic here -31.4% 24% -41.5%
15% -38.0% 21% -47.1%
20% -44.1% 20% -52.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $81.98 · official $75.59 · 3500 history records