Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:50:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa272…2625
crypto · 1012 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$336 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$336 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$336
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses605 / 407
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1012 / 1012
History coverage91d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day29.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1012 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$20 +347%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$6 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$15 +450%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Apr 19 $6 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Apr 19 $6 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Apr 19 $7 −$6 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Apr 19 $6 −$5 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Apr 19 $6 +$6 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Apr 19 $6 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Apr 19 $6 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Apr 19 $6 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Apr 19 $6 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Apr 19 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$336
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $4 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 +5.3% -4.8% 62% 58% -3.5%
≤30d 40 +5.3% -4.8% 62% 58% -3.5%
≤90d 909 -6.4% -15.3% 59% 45% -15.7%
all 1012 -6.0% -15.0% 60% 43% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 43% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 21% -22.7%
15% -30.6% 8% -30.2%
20% -37.4% 4% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records