trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | No | 6¢ | 6¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-100%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $14 | $0 | −$14 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$4 | -41% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$20 | +197% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $3 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $120 | +$20 | +17% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $23 | −$7 | -33% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -13% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $8 | −$3 | -43% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $35 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $40 | +$41 | +102% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $14 | −$14 | -98% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$21 | +669% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $221 | −$206 | -93% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +37.2% | +24.2% | 31% | 31% | -35.4% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +37.2% | +24.2% | 31% | 31% | -35.4% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +37.2% | +24.2% | 31% | 31% | -35.4% |
| all | 13 | +37.2% | +24.2% | 31% | 31% | -35.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +24.2% | 31% | -35.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +12.3% | 23% | -41.6% |
| 15% | +1.4% | 23% | -47.2% |
| 20% | -8.5% | 23% | -52.4% |