Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:14:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa2a1…68be
sports · 510 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$113 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$103 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized−$103
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses271 / 228
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions11
Markets (closed)499 / 510
History coverage142d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day5.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 11 History 499 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$20
14 days+$2
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Ursa 40¢ 44¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+9%)
Counter-Strike: gothboiclique vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - TESFED League Play-In gothboiclique 80¢ 50¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-37%)
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Walczaki 49¢ 50¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Clutchain 59¢ 58¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage illwill 35¢ 34¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage INOX Division 53¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: FULLPOWER vs FUT Turkuaz (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs FULLPOWER 37¢ 28¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-23%)
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Festina Lente 57¢ 36¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-37%)
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Noir Verse 60¢ 35¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-42%)
Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Overtake 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Wanted Goons 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs Just Players 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B XCLAN 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs Tricked 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Anyones Legend 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs Gentle Mates 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Phantom 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs UNiTY esports 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season Lodis 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage MOUZ 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season G2 Esports 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs ex-RUBY 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs PlayTime 73¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season Ronaldo Team 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $3 +$1 +57%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 13 $3 +$1 +50%
Counter-Strike: Festina Lente vs Detonate (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 13 $3 +$1 +57%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 13 $3 +$1 +32%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Minkens finest (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Jun 12 $2 +$1 +27%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $3 +$1 +52%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B Jun 12 $3 +$5 +180%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $3 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 +$1 +60%
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $2 +$2 +62%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $3 +$1 +48%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 12 $3 +$3 +129%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $3 +$1 +40%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Play Jun 11 $3 +$3 +129%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 11 $3 +$1 +44%
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eur Jun 10 $3 +$1 +52%
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Jun 10 $3 +$2 +90%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $3 +$3 +124%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $5 +$5 +109%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro L Jun 10 $5 +$5 +105%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Playof Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Jun 08 $5 +$3 +65%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Jun 08 $5 +$5 +97%
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 08 $5 +$3 +76%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN C Jun 08 $5 +$2 +50%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series Jun 08 $5 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Ding Cuts (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Grou Jun 08 $5 −$1 -28%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs MARKandLARRY (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series Jun 08 $5 −$2 -36%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 08 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs MGLBROS (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 08 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs AaB Bulls (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Sta Jun 08 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs VENOM ESPOR (BO3) - TESFED League Jun 08 $5 +$4 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% −$19
crypto 29% −$89
other 3% −$12
politics 3% −$4
economics 1% +$5
world 1% −$1
finance 1% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 35¢ $3 51m
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY INOX Division 53¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Noir Verse 60¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: FULLPOWER vs FUT Turkuaz (BO3) - TESFED League Playoff BUY FULLPOWER 37¢ $3 4h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY Walczaki 49¢ $3 4h
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 59¢ $3 6h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stag BUY Ursa 40¢ $3 8h
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff BUY Wanted Goons 55¢ $3 11h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Festina Lente 57¢ $3 11h
Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Overtake 58¢ $3 11h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY KOLESIE 63¢ $3 19h
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group BUY struggletony 79¢ $2 22h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 76¢ $2 22h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group BUY Sashi Academy 80¢ $2 22h
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea BUY Oxuji Esports 66¢ $3 26h
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY XCLAN 58¢ $3 34h
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Minkens finest 73¢ $3 34h
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Nexus 58¢ $3 34h
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Minkens finest (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Gatorian 78¢ $2 35h
Counter-Strike: Festina Lente vs Detonate (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof BUY Festina Lente 63¢ $3 36h
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY MASQ 35¢ $3 36h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 66¢ $3 37h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Marsborne 75¢ $3 38h
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Club 333 75¢ $3 38h
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Washed 71¢ $3 41h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 60¢ $3 41h
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY Abyssal 81¢ $2 43h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY INOX Division 50¢ $3 45h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Ursa 65¢ $3 45h
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 79¢ $2 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 +8.2% -2.1% 62% 62% -0.3%
≤30d 198 -0.6% -10.1% 61% 60% -13.8%
≤90d 424 -16.6% -24.5% 49% 48% -27.7%
all 499 -1.7% -11.1% 54% 53% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 53% -12.6%
10% -19.6% 47% -20.9%
15% -27.4% 38% -28.6%
20% -34.5% 29% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.16 · official $23.16 (match) · 1114 history records