trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 56 | -28.5% | -35.3% | 32% | 30% | -34.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -35.3% | 30% | -34.4% |
| 10% | -41.5% | 29% | -40.6% |
| 15% | -47.1% | 23% | -46.4% |
| 20% | -52.3% | 16% | -51.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5 | Over | 68¢ | 54¢ | $100 | $79 | −$21 (-21%) |
| Bruno Fernandes: 3+ shots | Yes | 58¢ | 55¢ | $25 | $24 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Yes | 51¢ | 26¢ | $30 | $15 | −$15 (-50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 27 | $1,457 | −$1,457 | -100% |
| Will Inter win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 27 | $1,027 | +$528 | +52% |
| Cardinals vs. Cubs | Sep 27 | $100 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 27 | $100 | −$5 | -5% |
| Twins vs. Phillies | Sep 27 | $100 | −$2 | -2% |
| Rockies vs. Giants | Sep 27 | $142 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 27 | $100 | −$2 | -2% |
| Rays vs. Blue Jays | Sep 27 | $103 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will Nottingham Forest vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? | Sep 27 | $50 | −$11 | -22% |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 27 | $100 | +$225 | +225% |
| Orioles vs. Yankees | Sep 27 | $100 | +$29 | +29% |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 27 | $128 | +$174 | +136% |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 27 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 27 | $100 | +$20 | +20% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 27 | $100 | +$108 | +108% |
| Will Juventus win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 27 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 27 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 27 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 27 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 27 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-09-14? | Sep 15 | $999 | −$812 | -81% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31? | Aug 31 | $4,224 | −$3,064 | -72% |
| Cubs vs. Rockies | Aug 31 | $339 | −$339 | -100% |
| Yankees vs. White Sox | Aug 31 | $250 | +$89 | +36% |
| Mariners vs. Guardians | Aug 30 | $250 | −$250 | -100% |
| Tigers vs. Royals | Aug 30 | $250 | −$250 | -100% |
| Angels vs. Astros | Aug 30 | $250 | −$250 | -100% |
| Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-08-20? | Aug 26 | $198 | −$198 | -100% |
| Royals vs. Blue Jays | Aug 26 | $333 | −$333 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Mariners | Aug 26 | $333 | −$333 | -100% |
| Astros vs. Red Sox | Aug 26 | $521 | −$521 | -100% |
| Dodgers vs. Rays | Aug 26 | $666 | −$666 | -100% |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 19-25? | Aug 26 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |
| Dodgers vs. Rays | Aug 26 | $703 | −$417 | -59% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | Aug 26 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | Aug 26 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Pirates vs. Giants | Aug 26 | $3,381 | −$3,381 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Aug 26 | $199 | −$199 | -100% |
| Phillies vs. White Sox | Aug 26 | $3,348 | −$3,348 | -100% |
| Pirates vs. Rockies | Aug 26 | $1,055 | −$1,055 | -100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | Aug 26 | $382 | −$382 | -100% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31? | Aug 20 | $841 | −$108 | -13% |
| Brewers vs. Nationals | Aug 03 | $286 | +$126 | +44% |
| Cardinals vs. Padres | Aug 03 | $274 | +$18 | +6% |
| White Sox vs. Angels | Aug 03 | $192 | +$81 | +42% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Athletics | Aug 03 | $705 | −$512 | -73% |
| Rangers vs. Mariners | Aug 02 | $2,055 | +$479 | +23% |
| Yankees vs. Marlins | Aug 02 | $1,479 | +$1,097 | +74% |
| Giants vs. Mets | Aug 02 | $521 | +$625 | +120% |
| Tigers vs. Phillies | Aug 02 | $334 | +$187 | +56% |