Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T14:12:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A2 0xa2c7…e6b6 crypto 85 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (86 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$46 (+2%) realized +$46 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate99%84W / 1L
Drawdown60%max
Avg bet$24per market
Trades / day85.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (86 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 +1.6% -8.1% 99% 1% -8.4%
≤30d 85 +1.6% -8.1% 99% 1% -8.4%
≤90d 85 +1.6% -8.1% 99% 1% -8.4%
all 85 +1.6% -8.1% 99% 1% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover85.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 1% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 0% -17.2%
15% -24.9% 0% -25.2%
20% -32.3% 0% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$30 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.81 per $1 lost it wins $1.81
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$46
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses84 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)85 / 85
History coverage1d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day85.6
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 85 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 27 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 27 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 27 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 27 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 27 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 27 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 27 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 27 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 27 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 27 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 27 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 27 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 27 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 27 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 27 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 27 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 27 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 27 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 27 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 27 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 27 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 27 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 27 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 27 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 27 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 27 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 27 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 27 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 27 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 27 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 27 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 27 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 26 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 26 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 26 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 26 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $19 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $19 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $19 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 245 history records