Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:56:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa2d7…4287
crypto · 570 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$361 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$361 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$76
Realized+$361
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses214 / 354
Open positions2
Markets (closed)568 / 570
History coverage3d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day920.7
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 568 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$102
7 days+$361
14 days+$361
30 days+$361
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 50¢ 92¢ $27 $51 +$24 (+86%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $12 $13 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 50¢ 8¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-85%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$9 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$7 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$17 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$13 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$13 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$361
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $0 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-5.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 568 +4.9% -5.1% 38% 28% -7.5%
≤30d 568 +4.9% -5.1% 38% 28% -7.5%
≤90d 568 +4.9% -5.1% 38% 28% -7.5%
all 568 +4.9% -5.1% 38% 28% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover920.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.1% 28% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -14.2% 19% -16.3%
15% -22.5% 13% -24.4%
20% -30.1% 8% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $75.96 · official $75.96 (match) · 3500 history records