trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $396 | $301 | −$95 (-24%) |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Yes | 18¢ | 9¢ | $300 | $144 | −$156 (-52%) |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Yes | 28¢ | 18¢ | $200 | $132 | −$68 (-34%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | Up | 2¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | Up | 7¢ | 0¢ | $90 | $0 | −$90 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | Up | 57¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | Down | 16¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $0 | −$100 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Down | 12¢ | 0¢ | $200 | $0 | −$200 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | Up | 11¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $0 | −$100 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | Down | 3¢ | 0¢ | $200 | $0 | −$200 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | Up | 25¢ | 0¢ | $400 | $0 | −$400 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | Jun 14 | $421 | −$400 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | Jun 14 | $105 | +$87 | +83% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | Jun 11 | $106 | −$100 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | Jun 11 | $213 | −$200 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | Jun 10 | $307 | +$100 | +33% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | Jun 10 | $423 | +$306 | +72% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Jun 10 | $212 | −$200 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | Jun 10 | $106 | −$100 | -94% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 08 | $100 | −$20 | -20% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 08 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | Jun 08 | $239 | −$67 | -28% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | Jun 08 | $205 | −$205 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | Jun 08 | $96 | −$90 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Jun 08 | $157 | −$157 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | Jun 08 | $726 | −$271 | -37% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | Jun 08 | $205 | +$163 | +80% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | Jun 08 | $53 | −$50 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | Jun 08 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -45.4% | -50.6% | 22% | 22% | -39.3% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -45.4% | -50.6% | 22% | 22% | -39.3% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -45.4% | -50.6% | 22% | 22% | -39.3% |
| all | 18 | -45.4% | -50.6% | 22% | 22% | -39.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -50.6% | 22% | -39.3% |
| 10% | -55.3% | 22% | -45.1% |
| 15% | -59.6% | 17% | -50.4% |
| 20% | -63.6% | 17% | -55.3% |